Named for Tax Code §42.26 · Equal & Uniform
Ranked over-assessment leads. The equity exhibit your case is built on.
We run the §41.43(b)(3) equal-and-uniform test on every commercial parcel in the certified roll, rank the results by cap-aware estimated savings, and deliver TDLR-registered consultants a prospect list with a one-page evidence sheet per parcel — prepared in your firm's name.
Data and software onlyWe never represent ownersCalibrated on published ARB outcomes
| Parcels | n | Reduced | Mean cut | Cut >15% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flagged | 591 | 92.0% | 11.9% | 29.6% |
| Unflagged | 726 | 86.4% | 8.7% | 17.5% |
Identical screen, run on prior-year noticed values and joined to HCAD's published hearing outcomes. 2025 replicates: 92.6% vs 88.4% reduced. Full tables below.
Travis County · TY2026 · TCAD export supp. 1 · 2026-08-05
What's in the list
Every figure is computed from the county's own certified export and rate tables — nothing scraped, nothing estimated by hand.
Cap-aware savings, parcel by parcel
F1–F5 commercial parcels ranked by estimated annual savings at each parcel's actual composite rate, with §23.231 circuit-breaker math applied so capped parcels show the taxable path and the future-year benefit separately.
Tiers you can rely on
HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW from cohort size and dispersion. Only evidence-grade cohorts — same improvement type, same market area — receive evidence sheets. Low-confidence flags showed no measured lift, so they're labeled and excluded.
The exhibit that slots into your case
Comp grid with documented size and age adjustments, the median math, indicated value, estimated savings, and full source citations — one page, "Prepared for your firm." Informal-ready as is; for formal hearings, the same lead expands to a full packet (comp detail, methodology, verbatim statute, provenance). You own the case — this is the equity exhibit inside it.
The junk is already removed
Parcels in active litigation, public and institutional owners, and assets over $25M (quarantined with a written memo each) never reach your list. Ambiguous lapse signals are triaged: likely-still-represented parcels are removed entirely, soft lapses are labelled pending confirmation, and only verified lapses make the headline counts.
The biggest gaps, labeled — not buried
A minority of flagged parcels are assessed so far above their equity-indicated value — or carry a value per square foot so far outside their cohort — that they warrant a closer look, not automatic exclusion. In our Harris County backtest these parcels, when protested, produced the largest realized reductions of any group we measured — a small sample (134 outlier-stratum and 548 extreme-excess parcels across two years), so ranges are historical, not predictive. Each is labeled and carries a field-verification note: confirm the subject is a true peer of its comparables before filing.
Harris backtest · TY2024–2025 · Published outcomes
Measured, not promised
We ran the identical screen on two prior years of noticed values, then joined the results to HCAD's published ARB hearing outcomes. These are the numbers, with sample sizes.
| Formal ARB hearings (FC/FN), high confidence | n | Reduced | Mean cut | Cut >15% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 · Flagged | 591 | 92.0% | 11.9% | 29.6% |
| 2024 · Unflagged | 726 | 86.4% | 8.7% | 17.5% |
| 2025 · Flagged | 581 | 92.6% | 10.1% | 23.6% |
| 2025 · Unflagged | 794 | 88.4% | 8.4% | 18.9% |
Across all protesters in high-confidence cohorts (agent-represented): 87–91% vs 79–85% reduced; mean cut 8.8–9.4% vs 7.0–7.1%; cuts over 15% in 18–21% vs 14–15% of cases. Pro-se owners (smaller samples: n=254/352 in 2024, 129/321 in 2025): 82–85% vs 69–76% reduced, 11–14% vs 8–9% mean cut. About 90% of Harris commercial protesters use an agent, and flagged parcels are represented at the same rate — no selection effect. Lift measured among parcels that protested; low-confidence flags showed no lift and are excluded from evidence sheets.
Read the full methodology →See exactly what you get — sample formal-hearing packet (PDF, watermarked) →
Our verification standard · ✻ checked against the county, not ourselves
Every number traces back to the county
A lead list is only worth what its data is worth. Three standards hold before anything reaches you — each one measured against a source we don't control.
Our Travis roll ties to TCAD's own published Certified Totals within a fraction of a percent, and every point of the difference is traced to a documented category convention — not error.
Every parcel in every list, sheet, and packet is built from — and reconciled field-by-field to — TCAD's own certified appraisal export: value, class, exemptions, agent. Each season a stratified sample is independently re-checked against the live county portal; the latest pass matched appraised value on 200 of 200 parcels.
Every performance number we quote is measured — the identical screen run on two prior years of Harris County notices, joined to HCAD's published ARB hearing results. Nothing here is a projection.
Behind these three: an independent from-scratch recomputation of the math, deterministic hash-identical rebuilds, and mutation testing of the scoring code — detail on the methodology page. Verification re-runs for every county and season before delivery; the full report is available to customers on request.
Packages · Travis County · 2026 season
Two products, priced like the tools they replace
A season of prospecting ammunition, or evidence production for the book you already have. Delivered within two business days of purchase.
- The complete ranked county list — 1,476 flagged commercial parcels; 440 open prospects (364 never-represented and 76 recently lapsed, each named with its prior firm and authorization end date)
- An owner-portfolio view groups parcels under common ownership — one signature can carry several protests — with a top-owners sheet leading the delivery
- Evidence sheets for the top 100 ranked leads, prepared in your firm's name, each expandable to a formal-hearing packet
- The severe tier — the parcels whose excess historically produced the deepest realized cuts — labeled with its measured context
- April 2027 notice-season re-screen included (subject to county publication) — the list re-ranks when filing season opens
- Parcels in litigation, public and institutional owners, and assets over $25M are already removed
- Everything in the Season Package
- Founding bonus, 2027 season: full evidence-sheet coverage of every evidence-grade lead at no charge
- Milestone billing — the second half is due only on results
No savings guarantee. No refunds after delivery. Milestone terms on the receipt.
- A one-page equity exhibit per parcel — subject summary, adjusted comparable grid, median math, cap-aware savings, sources and statutes — ready for informal submission as-is
- Expandable to a six-page formal packet: owner-facing summary for the client conversation, comparable location map, per-comparable detail, methodology, verbatim statute, provenance
- First five free on parcels you represent; then $1,500 per 50 at any scale your season needs
Every deliverable ✻ re-verified against live county records at delivery · every figure cited to source and vintage · licensed under 4226tax.com/terms.
Free sample · Personalized to your book
See your county before you spend a dollar
A watermarked top-10 for Travis, personalized to your firm
Email your firm name and TDLR license number and you'll receive the ten highest-ranked leads with full evidence detail, watermarked, in your firm's name. Three free half-list pilot seats are reserved for firms willing to share season outcomes — ask.
or write to [email protected]
The 20% circuit breaker on non-homestead parcels valued at $5.32M or less expires December 31, 2026, with no extension enacted as of August 2026. 2026 is the last cycle in which lowering a capped parcel's market value is a "future-year benefit" rather than next year's full exposure. Our savings figures report both paths separately.